Guestbook

Naldgayra

16 Jun 2025 - 07:53 am

[url=https://trip29.top/]
tripscan21 win[/url]


зеркало

https://trip29.top/

Nikkylow

16 Jun 2025 - 07:40 am

darkmarket link darknet drug store darknet market

Toddylow

16 Jun 2025 - 07:01 am

nexus shop darkmarket url darknet market links

Brucesit

16 Jun 2025 - 05:59 am

Website KRAKEN является trusted ресурсом, который предоставит покупателям уникальные возможности для защищенных сделок в даркнете. Этот innovative site позволяет не только легко и быстро находить нужные товары, но и обеспечивать полную безопасность для каждой сделки, что является ключевым моментом для всех, кто ценит анонимность. На marketplace KRAKEN каждый пользователь получает эффективную защиту данных и конфиденциальность, что позволяет спокойно осуществлять покупки и продажу в условиях цифрового подполья. Благодаря проверенным продавцам и мгновенной системе пополнения, пользователи могут быть уверены в high надежности своих сделок.
KRAKEN предоставляет своим пользователям convenient интерфейс, который напоминает популярную платформу, и позволяет быстро находить нужную информацию, совершать покупки и проверять состояние сделок. Registration на resource KRAKEN занимает минимальное количество времени и является абсолютно безопасной. Для входа на площадку KRAKEN, пользователи могут использовать актуальные зеркала, чтобы не беспокоиться о возможных блокировках и всегда иметь доступ к updated версии сайта. К тому же, for users, заинтересованных в opening своего магазина, KRAKEN предоставляет подробные инструкции и поддержку на каждом этапе, обеспечивая комфорт и уверенность в дальнейшем бизнесе.
kraken darknet вход

Nikkylow

16 Jun 2025 - 05:49 am

bitcoin dark web darknet market list darknet drugs

Michaelrip

16 Jun 2025 - 02:58 am

Les adherents du parti Les Republicains sont appeles a voter, samedi et dimanche, pour choisir leur futur president. Mais entre Bruno Retailleau et Laurent Wauquiez, peu de differences ideologiques existent : a l’image de ce qu’est devenu leur parti depuis 2017, tous deux font campagne a droite toute en misant sur les questions d’immigration et de securite.
[url=https://kra33cc.ru]РєСЂР°33[/url]
Publie le : 16/05/2025 - 10:45
Modifie le : 16/05/2025 - 10:52

6 minTemps de lecture
[url=https://kra33cc.ru]kra33 СЃСЃ[/url]
Par :
Romain BRUNET
Laurent Wauquiez et Bruno Retailleau, le 19 septembre 2024, arrivant a Matignon.
Laurent Wauquiez et Bruno Retailleau, le 19 septembre 2024, arrivant a Matignon. © Ludovic Marin, AFP
Apres plusieurs semaines de campagne, difficile de savoir qui de Bruno Retailleau ou Laurent Wauquiez remportera la presidence du parti Les Republicains (LR). Les adherents du parti de droite sont invites a les departager, samedi 17 et dimanche 18 mai, pour choisir celui qui incarnera desormais LR, avec en toile de fond l’election presidentielle de 2027.

Mais comment choisir entre deux candidats presentant si peu de differences de ligne ideologique ? Bruno Retailleau et Laurent Wauquiez placent constamment l’immigration et la securite au centre de leurs discours. Si bien que pour exister face a un candidat-ministre devenu favori et omnipresent dans les medias, l’ancien president de la region Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes s’est senti oblige de jouer la surenchere en proposant, le 8 avril dans le JDNews, "que les etrangers dangereux sous OQTF [Obligation de quitter le territoire francais] soient enfermes dans un centre de retention a Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon, hors de l’Hexagone".

kra33 cc
https://kra33---at.ru

Michaelrex

16 Jun 2025 - 02:00 am

There’s a ‘ghost hurricane’ in the forecast. It could help predict a real one
[url=https://www.ntv.ru/novosti/2698901/]гей порно видео[/url]
A scary-looking weather forecast showing a hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast in the second half of June swirled around social media this week—but don’t panic.

It’s the season’s first “ghost hurricane.”

Similar hype plays out every hurricane season, especially at the beginning: A cherry-picked, worst-case-scenario model run goes viral, but more often than not, will never come to fruition.

Unofficially dubbed “ghost storms” or “ghost hurricanes,” these tropical systems regularly appear in weather models — computer simulations that help meteorologists forecast future conditions — but never seem to manifest in real life.

The model responsible this week was the Global Forecast System, also known as the GFS or American model, run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It’s one of many used by forecasters around the world.

All models have known biases or “quirks” where they tend to overpredict or underpredict certain things. The GFS is known to overpredict tropical storms and hurricanes in longer-term forecasts that look more than a week into the future, which leads to these false alarms. The GFS isn’t alone in this — all models struggle to accurately predict tropical activity that far in advance — but it is notorious for doing so.

For example, the GFS could spit out a prediction for a US hurricane landfall about 10 days from now, only to have that chance completely disappear as the forecast date draws closer. This can occur at any time of the year, but is most frequent during hurricane season — June through November.

It’s exactly what’s been happening over the past week as forecasters keep an eye out for the first storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Why so many ghosts?
No weather forecast model is designed in the exact same way as another, and that’s why each can generate different results with similar data.

The reason the GFS has more false alarms when looking more than a week out than similar models – like Europe’s ECMWF, Canada’s CMC or the United Kingdom’s UKM – is because that’s exactly what it’s programmed to do, according to Alicia Bentley, the global verification project lead of NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Center.

The GFS was built with a “weak parameterized cumulus convection scheme,” according to Bentley. In plain language, that means when the GFS thinks there could be thunderstorms developing in an area where tropical systems are possible – over the oceans – it’s more likely to jump to the conclusion that something tropical will develop than to ignore it.

Other models aren’t built to be quite as sensitive to this phenomenon, and so they don’t show a tropical system until they’re more confident the right conditions are in place, which usually happens when the forecast gets closer in time.

The western Caribbean Sea is one of the GFS’ favorite places to predict a ghost storm. That’s because of the Central American gyre: a large, disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms that rotates over the region and its surrounding water.

Toddylow

16 Jun 2025 - 01:10 am

nexus shop darknet market list nexus official site

Timmyrub

16 Jun 2025 - 01:02 am

nexus onion mirror best darknet markets nexus darknet link

Toddylow

15 Jun 2025 - 11:11 pm

nexus market darknet nexus darknet onion dark website